Schrödinger's Cat
In many ways, economists are very wishy-washy. We are probably all aware of Harry Truman's frustration with economists and their two hands: " Give me a one-handed Economist. All my economists say 'on ONE hand...', then 'but on the other..." But, such wishy-washiness is usually a sign of knowledge ... as one learns more about a topic, one realizes how there are never simple answers in complex matters. This leads me to one of my favorite quotes from Mark Twain: " Education: the path from cocky ignorance to miserable uncertainty." Cocky ignorance also goes by another name: the Dunning-Kruger effect . Or, put simply, the ill-informed do not know what they do not know. As an aside, a friend sent me an article this week on how the D-K effect explains our current political predicament. Anyway, this brings me the topic I want to discuss today: while economists are notorious for being wishy-washy, applied econometricians are not . In my opinion, they abhor